Hey man, do you think the GOP is ever going to take the libertarian approach to LGBTQ rights in the near future? I'm worried they're going to stick to this position, and eventually we're going to have only one major party in power, and that party (Dems) will be hostile to the constitutional approach of legislation. Am I just over thinking it, or do you think that might happen?
Yes and no. The GOP is shifting to more friendly positions on LGBTG issues. The examples are everywhere from Paul Ryan supporting adoption rights to Rob Portman coming out in support of gay marriage (a huge moment which I wrote about before). Those are just the most recent examples; however, Dick Cheney, Glenn Beck, John Bolton, Jon Huntsman, and many more influential Republican’s have also stated support for marriage equality. John Boehner even appeared to have been displeased at having to defend DOMA. Whenever he speaks on LGBTQ issues he does not argue against them, but rather calls them distractions from the economy and other more important issues. It is a subtle shift, but important nonetheless.
Poll after poll shows that a slim majority of Americans now support marriage equality and that support is only increasing. Support is strongest in the younger generations and even young Republicans show strong support for marriage equality. To put it simply, those who oppose marriage equality are slowly dying out, even in the GOP.
The Evangelical right is having what I would consider their last stand on issues surrounding the LGBTQ community. The tide has turned and though they will remain influential they cannot stand up against such a strong shift on public opinion. I believe they realize this and it is why they have become so vocal as of late.
However, you asked if they will take a more libertarian approach, and the answer to that is no. The libertarian position (and the better option) would be to remove government from marriage completely. This would result in true “equality.” While certain Republicans have this or a similar position (Rand Paul and Justin Amash) more Republican’s will lean towards the approach of a state sanctioned marriage.